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Article
Affiliation(s)

1. National Institute of Technology, Toyama College, Toyama 9398630, Japan
2. Faculty of International Maritime Studies, Kasetsart University, Chon Buri 20230, Thailand

ABSTRACT

We analyzed accident factors in a 2020 ship collision case that occurred off Kii Oshima Island using the SHELL model analysis and examined corresponding collision prevention measures. The SHELL model analysis is a framework for identifying accident factors related to human abilities and characteristics, hardware, software, and the environment. Beyond assessing the accident factors in each element, we also examined the interrelationship between humans and each element. This study highlights the importance of (1) training to enhance situational awareness, (2) improving decision-making skills, and (3) establishing structured decision-making procedures to prevent maritime collision accidents. Additionally, we considered safety measures through (4) hardware enhancements and (5) environmental measures. Furthermore, to prevent accidents, implementing measures grounded in (6) predictions is deemed effective. This study identified accident factors through prediction alongside the SHELL model analysis and proposed countermeasures based on the findings. By applying these predictions, more countermeasures can be derived, which, when combined strategically, can significantly aid in preventing maritime collision accidents.

KEYWORDS

Maritime collision accidents, SHELL model analysis, prediction, situational awareness, decision-making ability.

Cite this paper

Journal of Civil Engineering and Architecture 19 (2025) 547-559

doi: 10.17265/1934-7359/2025.11.005

References

[1]   The Japanese Shipowners’ Association, Shipping now 2024-2025, p12. https://www.jsanet.or.jp/data/pdf/allpage 2024.pdf.

[2]   Japan Coast Guard, Current situation and countermeasures for marine accidents in 2024 - to save valuable lives, https://www6.kaiho.mlit.go.jp/info/keihatsu/20240614_state_measure01.pdf.

[3]   Takemoto, T. 2009. Preventing Ships’ Collision Accidents Based on Characteristics of Navigator’s Human Error. Kobe University Repository, Japan.

[4]   Takemoto, T., Sakamoto, Y., Shimada, H., and Furusho, M. 2004. “Incidental Situation of Human Error Occurred in Marine Collision Accidents.” Journal of the Japan Institute of Navigation 110 (2004): 109-16.

[5]   Takemoto, T., Sakamoto, Y., Shimada, H., and Furusho, M. 2005. “Quantification of Human Error Occurred in Marine Collision Accidents.” Journal of the Japan Institute of Navigation 113 (2005): 85-91.

[6]   Hawkins, F. H., and Orlady, H. W, 1993. Human Factors in Flight. New York: Routledge.

[7]   Japan Transportation Safety Board, Marine accident and incident investigation reports, https://jtsb.mlit.go.jp/ship/ rep-acci/2023/MA2023-6-29_2022kb0114.pdf.

[8]   Takemoto, T., and Saito, M. 2024. “Education and training to Improve Non-technical Skills of Navigators Using a Ship-handling Simulator.” Navigation of Japan Institute of Navigation, vol. 230.

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