Paper Status Tracking
Contact us
[email protected]
Click here to send a message to me 3275638434
Paper Publishing WeChat

Article
Affiliation(s)

Chong Li, Ph.D. candidate, Wu Yuzhang Honors College, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Haiyue Liu, associate professor, School of Business, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Ying Jiang, professor, School of Economics, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.

ABSTRACT

This study attempts to investigate the effect of financial and political risk on Chinese outward FDI activities in 56 emerging economies for a period from 2003 to 2013. Exchange rate is taken as a main indicator of financial risks and political risks are evaluated using ICRG (International Country Risk Guide) index. Generalized method of moments with panel data of Chinese outward FDI (foreign direct investment) in new emerging economies is used to find how Chinese firms intend to invest abroad with respect to exchange rate level, volatility, and expectation. The major findings show that RMB appreciation proved to have a positive effect on Chinese outward FDI in emerging economies. But Chinese OFDI (outward foreign direct investment) seems not to respond to exchange rate volatility. The expectation of RMB’s appreciation has positive effect on Chinese OFDI in emerging economies. Results also show that more political risk leads to more Chinese OFDI in emerging economies.

KEYWORDS

FDI (foreign direct investment), exchange rate, political risk, emerging economies

Cite this paper

References
Andresosso-O’Callagham, B., & Wei, X. (2003). EU FDI in China: Locational determinants and its role in China’s hinterland. Proceedings from the 15th Annual Conference of the Association for Chinese Economics Studies, Australia (ACESA).
Arellano, M., & Bond, S. (1991). Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations. Review of Economic Studies, 58(2), 277-297.
Bénassy-Quéré, A., Fontagné, L., & Lahrèche-Révil, A. (2001). Exchange-rate strategies in the competition for attracting foreign direct investment. Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 15(2), 178-198.
Blonigen, B. A. (1997). Firm specific assets and the link between exchange rates and foreign direct investment. American Economic Review, 87(3), 448-465.
Busse, M., & Hefeker, C. (2007). Political risk, institutions and foreign direct investment. European Journal of Political Economy, 23(2), 397-415.
Campa, J. M. (1993). Entry by foreign firms in the United States under exchange rate uncertainty. Review of Economics and Statistics, 75(4), 614-622.
Chakrabarti, R., & Scholnick, B. (2002). Exchange rate expectations and foreign direct investment flows. Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 138(1), 1-21.
China’s Ministry of Commerce. (2013). Statistical bulletin of China’s outward foreign direct investment. Retrieved from http://www.mofcom.gov.cn
Deseatnicov, I., & Akiba, H. (2011). Effects of exchange rate and political risks on Japanese outward FDI: A panel data analysis (Unpublished Waseda Working Paper). 
Dixit, A. (1989). Entry and exit decisions under uncertainty. Journal of Political Economy, 97(9), 620-638.
Dixit, A. K., & Pindyck, R. S. (1994). Investment under uncertainty. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Froot, K. A., & Stein, J. C. (1991). Exchange rates and foreign direct investment: An imperfect capital markets approach. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106(4), 1191-1217.
Goldberg, L. S., & Crockett, K. (1998). The dollar and US manufacturing. Economics and Finance. Retrieved from http://www.newyorkfed.org/research/current_issues/ci4-12.pdf
Goldberg, L. S., & Kolstad, C. D. (1994). Foreign direct investment, exchange rate variability and demand uncertainty. Retrieved from http://econ.as.nyu.edu/docs/IO/9387/RR94-23.pdf
Görg, H., & Wakelin, K. (2002). The impact of exchange rate volatility on US direct investment. The Manchester School, 70(3), 380-397.
Hayakawa, K., Kimura, F., & Lee, H. H. (2011). How does country risk matter for foreign direct investment? (In IDE Discussion Paper, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization (JETRO), Tokyo).
Holtz-Eakin, D., Newey, W., & Rosen, H. S. (1988). Estimating vector autoregressions with panel data. Econometrica, 56(6), 1371-1395.
Lee, J. W. (2015). Dynamic Relationships between exchange rates and foreign direct investment: Empirical evidence from Korea. Asian Economic Journal, 29(1), 73-90.
Schmidt, C. W., & Broll, U. (2009). Real exchange-rate uncertainty and US foreign direct investment: An empirical analysis. Review of World Economics, 145(3), 513-530.
Takagi, S., & Shi, Z. Y. (2011). Exchange rate movements and foreign direct investment (FDI): Japanese investment in Asia, 1987-2008. Japan and the World Economy, 23(4), 265-272.
Udomkerdmongkol, M., Morrissey, O., & Görg, H. (2009). Exchange rates and outward foreign direct investment: US FDI in emerging economies. Review of Development Economics, 13(4), 754-764.
United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. (2014). World investment report. Retrieved from http://unctad.org/en/PublicationsLibrary/wir2014_en.pdf
Walsh, J. P., & Yu, J. (2010). Determinants of foreign direct investment: A sectoral and institutional approach (Unpublished IMF Working Papers, pp. 1-27).
Wan, L. (2010). The research on the impact of RMB real exchange rate on China’s vertical and horizontal FDI (in Chinese) (Unpublished Master dissertation, Zhejiang Gongshang University).
Wang, Z. Q., & Swain, N. (1997). Determinants of inflow of foreign direct investment in Hungary and China: Time-series approach. Journal of International Development, 9(5), 695-726.
Wei, S. J. (2000). How taxing is corruption on international investors? The Review of Economics and Statistics, 82(1), 1-11.
Xiang R. (2011). The impact of RMB exchange rate on China’s foreign direct investment (in Chinese) (Unpublished Master dissertation, Nanjing Normal University).

About | Terms & Conditions | Issue | Privacy | Contact us
Copyright © 2001 - David Publishing Company All rights reserved, www.davidpublisher.com
3 Germay Dr., Unit 4 #4651, Wilmington DE 19804; Tel: 001-302-3943358 Email: [email protected]