Paper Status Tracking
Contact us
[email protected]
Click here to send a message to me 3275638434
Paper Publishing WeChat

Article
Affiliation(s)

Ayoub Yousefi, associate professor of economics, Department of Economics, Business and Mathematics, King’s University College at Western University, Canada.

ABSTRACT

This paper applies the Pairwise Panel Granger Causality test to examine the relationship between ICT (information and communication technology) expenditure and the rate of growth of GDP (gross domestic product) per capita. This is accomplished by using cross-country time-series data for a total of 70 developed and developing countries for the period from 2003 to 2008. The study reveals that the existence of causality and its direction differ across different income-group of countries and over the number of lags included. ICT investment expenditure as a percentage of GDP appears to cause the rate of growth of GDP per capita for the high income group and all income groups combined with lags higher than one year. However, for the upper- and lower-middle income groups, the study detects causality in neither direction. Also, when only one lag is included, the study suggests no causality in either direction for any of the income-groups of countries. 

KEYWORDS

investment in ICT (information and communication technology), the rate of growth of GDP (gross domestic product) per capita, causality, developed countries, developing countries

Cite this paper

References
Ahmad, N., Schreyer, P., & Wölfl, A. (2004). ICT investment in OECD countries and its economic impacts—The economic impact of ICT: Measurement, evidence and implications. Paris: OECD.
Armstrong, P., Harchaoui, T. M., Jackson, C., & Tarkhani, F. (2002). A comparison of Canada-US economic growth in the information age, 1981-2000: The importance of investment in information and communication technologies (Economic Analysis Research Paper Series, No. 001, Statistics Canada, Ottawa).
Atrostic, B. K., & Nguyen, S. (2002). Computer networks and US manufacturing plant productivity: New evidence from the CNUS data (CES Working Paper 02-01, Center for Economic Studies, Washington, DC).
Ayanso, A., Cho, D. I., & Lertwachara, K. (2010). The digital divide: Global and regional ICT leaders and followers. Information Technology for Development, 16(4), 304-319.
Baliamoune-Lutz, M. (2003). An analysis of the determinants and effects of ICT diffusion in developing countries. Information Technology for Development, 10, 151-169.
Becchetti, L., & Adriani, F. (2005). Does the digital divide matter? The role of information and communication technology in cross-country level and growth estimates. Economics of Innovation and New Technology, 14(6), 435-453.
Beil, R. O., Ford, G. S., & Jackson, J. D. (2005). On the relationship between telecommunications investment and economic growth in the United States. International Economic Journal, 19(1), 3-9. 
Cette, G., Mairesse, J., & Kocoglu, Y. (2002). Diffusion of ICTs and growth of the French economy over the long term, 1980-2000. International Productivity Monitor, 4, 27-38.
Colecchia, A., & Schreyer, P. (2002). ICT investment and economic growth in the 1990s: Is the United States a unique case? A comparative study of nine OECD countries. Review of Economics Dynamics, 5(2), 408-442.
Daveri, F. (2002). The new economy in Europe, 1992-2001. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 18(3), 345-362.
Dewan, S., & Kraemer, K. (2000). Information technology and productivity: Evidence from country-level data. Management Science, 46(4), 548-562.
Dickey, D. A., & Fuller, W. A. (1979). Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74, 427-431.
Engle, R. F., & Granger, C. W. J. (1987). Cointegration and error correction: Representation, estimation and testing. Econometrica, 55, 251-276.
Ferran, C., & Salim, R. (2006). Electronic business in developing countries: The digitalization of bad practices? In S. Kamel  (Ed.), Electronic business in developing countries: Opportunities and challenges (pp. 1-33). Hershey: IDEA Group Publishing.
Ghali, K. H., & Al-Mutawa, A. (1999). The intertemporal causal dynamics between fixed capital formation and economic growth in the group-of-seven countries. International Economic Journal, 13(2), 31-37. 
Gordon, R., & Rhine-Westphalia Institute of Economic Research. (2002). New economy—An assessment from a German viewpoint. Essen: Rhine-Westphalia Institute for Economic Research. 
Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating causal relations by econometric models: Cross spectral methods. Econometrica, 37, 424-438.
Granger, C. W. J. (1988). Some recent developments in a concept of causality. Journal of Econometrics, 39, 199-211.
Gretton, P., Gali, J., & Parham, D. (2002). Uptake and impacts of ICT in the Australian economy: Evidence from aggregate, sectoral and firm levels (OECD Workshop on ICT and Business Performance, Productivity Commission, Canberra).
Hamilton, R. (1994). Time series analysis. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Im, K. S., Pesaran, M. H., & Shin, Y. (2003). Testing for unit roots in heterogenous panels. Journal of Econometrics, 115, 53-74.
Jalava, J., & Pohjola, M. (2002). ICT as a source of output and productivity growth in Finland (Helsinki Center for Economic Research, Discussion Paper No. 52).
Jorgenson, D. W., Ho, M. S., & Stiroh, K. J. (2002). Projecting productivity growth: Lessons from the US growth resurgence. Economic Review, 87(3), 1-13. 
Kegels, C., Van Overbeke, M., & Van Zandweghe, W. (2002). ICT contribution to economic performance in Belgium: Preliminary evidence (Working Paper 8-02, Federal Planning Bureau, Brussels). 
Khan, H., & Santos, M. (2002). Contribution of ICT use to output and labour: Productivity growth in Canada (Working Paper 2002-7, Bank of Canada, Ottawa, March). 
Kim, S. J. (2002). The digital economy and the role of government: Information technology and economic performance in Korea (Program on Information Resources Policy, Harvard University).
Kottemann, J. E., & Boyer-Wright, K. M. (2009). Human resource development, domains of information technology use, and levels of economic prosperity. Information Technology for Development, 15(1), 32-42.
Levin, A., Lin, C. F., & Chu C. (2002). Unit root tests in panel data: Asymptotic and finite-sample properties. Journal of Econometrics, 108, 1-24. 
Miyagawa, T., Y. I., & Harada, N. (2002). Does the IT revolution contribute to Japanese economic growth? (JCER Discussion Paper No. 75, Japan Center for Economic Research, Tokyo). 
Motohashi, K. (2001). Economic analysis of information network use: Organizational and productivity impacts on Japanese firms (Research and Statistics Department, METI, mimeo).
Ngwenyama, O., & Morawczynski, O. (2009). Factors affecting ICT expansion in emerging economies: An analysis of ICT infrastructure expansion in five Latin American countries. Information Technology for Development, 15(4), 237-258.
Oliner, S. D., & Sichel, D. E. (2000). The resurgence of growth in the late 1990s: Is information technology the story? The Journal of Economic Perspectives, 14(4), 3-22.
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. (2003). ICT and economic growth: Evidence from OECD countries, industries and firms. Retrieved from https://books.google.ca/books?id=zS8v2aFE8LYC&dq=ISBN+92-64-10128-4&source=gbs_navlinks_s
Oulton, N. (2001). ICT and productivity growth in the United Kingdom (Working Paper No. 140, Bank of England, London).
Panagariya, A. (2000). E-commerce, WTO and developing countries. The World Economy, 23(8), 959-978.
Papaioannou, S. K., & Dimelis, S. P. (2007). Information technology as a factor of economic development: Evidence from developed and developing countries. Economics of Innovation and New Technology, 16(3), 179-194.
Parham, D., Roberts, P., & Sun, H. (2001). Information technology and Australia’s productivity surge (Staff Research Paper, Productivity Commission, AusInfo, Canberra). 
Pesaran, M. H., & Shin, Y. (1995). An autoregressive distributed lag modeling approach to cointegrated analysis (Discussion Paper 95-14, Department of Applied Economics, University of Cambridge).
Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2000). Structural analysis of vector error correction models with exogenous I(1) variable. Journal of Econometrics, 97, 293-343.
Phillips, P. C. B., & Perron, P. (1988). Testing for a unit root in time series regression. Biometrika, 75, 335-346.
Podrecca, E., & Carmeci, G. (2001). Fixed investment and economic growth: New results on causality. Applied Economics, 33(2), 177-182.
Schreyer, P. (2000). The contribution of information and communication technology to output growth: A study of the G7 countries. Retrieved from http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/science-and-technology/ the-contribution-of-information-and-communication-technology-to-output-growth_151634666253
Simon, J., & Wardrop, S. (2002). Australian use of information technology and its contribution to growth (Research Discussion Paper RDP2002-02, Reserve Bank of Australia, Sydney).
Solow, R. (1956). A contribution to the theory of economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70, 65-94.
Solow, R. (1957). Technical change and the aggregate production function. Review of Economics and Statistics, 39(3), 65-94.
Toda, H. Y., & Yamamoto, T. (1995). Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes. Journal of Econometrics, 66, 225-250.
Van Ark, B., Melka, J., Mulder, N., Timmer, M., & Ypma, G. (2002). ICT investments and growth accounts for the European Union, 1980-2000 (Research Memorandum GD-56, Groningen Growth and Development Center, Groningen). 
Van Der Wiel, H. (2001). Does ICT boost Dutch productivity growth? (CPB Document No. 016, CPB Netherlands Bureau of Economic Policy Analysis).
Wolde-Rufael, Y. (2007). Another look at the relationship between telecommunications investment and economic activity in the United States. International Economic Journal, 21(2), 199-205. 
World Bank. (2015). World development indicators. Retrieved from http://data.worldbank.org/data-catalog/world-development-indicators

About | Terms & Conditions | Issue | Privacy | Contact us
Copyright © 2001 - David Publishing Company All rights reserved, www.davidpublisher.com
3 Germay Dr., Unit 4 #4651, Wilmington DE 19804; Tel: 001-302-3943358 Email: [email protected]