Affiliation(s)
1. Département de Physique, Faculté des Sciences et Techniques, Université Abdou Moumouni, BP 10662, Niamey, Niger
2. Diori Hamani International Airport, BP 1096, Niamey,Niger
3. West African Science Service Center on Climate Change and Adapted Land Use (WASCAL), Doctoral Research Program in Climate Change and Energy (DRP-CCE), Abdou Moumouni University, BP 10662, Niamey, Niger
4. African School of Meteorology and Civil Aviation (EAMAC), B.P 746, Niamey, Niger
5. Centre Climatique Régional pour l’Afrique de l’Ouest et Sahel (AGRHYMET-CCR-AOS), BP 11011, Niamey, Niger
ABSTRACT
Our paper assessed the improvement performance of the reanalysis (ERA5)
compared to ERAI (ERA-Interim) both from the ECMWF (European Center for
Medium-Range Weather Forecast) in representing the WAM (West African Monsoon)
dynamic. Our aim is to evaluate the reliability of ERA5 to deliver better
climate services than ERAI in the West African Sahel region. Two complementary
observational databases namely the CRU (Climate Research Unit) and the GPCC
(Global Precipitation Climatology Center) data are used to evaluate
precipitation and temperature representation by the two reanalysis. Otherwise,
the representation of some major features of the WAM system, such as the SHL
(Saharan Heat Low), the AEJ/TEJ (African and Tropical Easterly Jets) was assessed using the two
reanalysis data. The obtained results show a better representation of the
seasonal accumulated precipitation and average temperature by ERA5 compared to
ERAI with higher spatial correlation and lower bias relative to the
observations. Furthermore, ERAI appears to be rainier than ERA5 but ERA5
produces more heavy rainfall days. During the period of intense monsoon, the
frequency of the SHL is higher for ERAI which would favor intensification of
monsoon inflow and depth. The lower SHL frequency observed in the ERA5 could
explain the observed weakening intensity of AEJ which is favorable for moist
conditions over the Sahel. These findings confirm the progress made by ERA5
compared to ERAI in representing the WAM dynamic and demonstrate its
reliability for delivering better climate services over the West African Sahel.
KEYWORDS
ERA5, ERAI, West African Monsoon System, Sahel, SHL.
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